Champions League Last 16
Global 2-3
1860 München vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1966 |
MON
2 - 3
MUN
32%
25%
43%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 0
KSC
80%
13%
7%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1966 |
HAN
2 - 2
MUN
33%
25%
42%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1966 |
MUN
3 - 0
F95
82%
12%
7%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1966 |
BYM
3 - 0
MUN
49%
23%
28%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
ATH
0 - 0
RMA
31%
27%
42%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1966 |
RMA
2 - 1
HER
85%
11%
5%
|
92 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
UDL
1 - 1
RMA
20%
26%
55%
|
92 | 75 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1966 |
RMA
0 - 2
PEÑ
86%
9%
5%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1966 |
SEV
0 - 1
RMA
19%
26%
55%
|
92 | 79 | 13 | 0 |