1860 München vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
HER
2 - 1
MUN
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
MUN
1 - 1
STU
40%
24%
35%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
MON
2 - 0
MUN
46%
24%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
MUN
0 - 0
MSV
60%
22%
19%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
MUN
4 - 1
EIN
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1999 |
FCN
2 - 2
EIN
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1999 |
KAI
2 - 0
FCN
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1999 |
FCN
3 - 0
S04
27%
27%
46%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
BVB
3 - 0
FCN
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
FCN
1 - 1
BRE
28%
26%
46%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | +1 |