1860 München vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 4
MUN
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2017 |
MUN
5 - 3
NUR
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
ROS
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
BUC
1 - 0
MUN
17%
25%
58%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2017 |
MUN
3 - 1
WAC
73%
19%
9%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
SVS
1 - 0
ING
31%
29%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
ING
0 - 1
FCU
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
ING
2 - 0
NAN
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
SPA
2 - 2
ING
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
ING
2 - 1
WEH
69%
20%
11%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |