1860 München vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
EBT
1 - 2
MUN
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
RTV
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
MSV
1 - 3
MUN
42%
26%
32%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 1
KAI
38%
26%
36%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2012 |
RTV
3 - 0
MUN
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
ING
1 - 1
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
ING
1 - 3
PAD
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
FSV
0 - 2
ING
45%
27%
29%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ING
0 - 0
STP
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |