1860 München vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
13.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
HER
3 - 0
MUN
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
4 - 0
SVS
65%
20%
15%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ING
0 - 2
MUN
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MUN
1 - 1
EBT
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
RTV
0 - 0
MUN
39%
26%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ERZ
3 - 1
SSV
44%
28%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SGD
3 - 1
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
FCU
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
ERZ
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 1
PAD
34%
27%
39%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |