1860 München vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1977 |
PIR
1 - 4
MUN
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
MUN
6 - 0
FSV
73%
17%
10%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
SVS
0 - 3
MUN
42%
26%
33%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
MUN
2 - 0
EIN
89%
9%
2%
|
75 | 46 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
SSV
1 - 3
MUN
27%
26%
47%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1977 |
HOM
3 - 1
BAY
63%
20%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1977 |
BAY
3 - 2
STU
42%
25%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1977 |
AUG
5 - 1
BAY
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1977 |
BAY
2 - 0
AUG
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +2 |
| 02 Jan. 1977 |
BAY
1 - 0
WAL
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |