1860 München vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.6%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
LUD
3 - 1
MUN
19%
23%
58%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
MUN
2 - 0
ORU
78%
16%
6%
|
70 | 51 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
ING
1 - 1
MUN
31%
28%
42%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
MUN
4 - 2
BAY
57%
24%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
HES
1 - 0
MUN
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1972 |
BAY
0 - 1
KSC
35%
25%
40%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1972 |
DAR
3 - 1
BAY
58%
21%
21%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 1972 |
BAY
1 - 1
FCN
19%
21%
59%
|
55 | 74 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1972 |
SVS
2 - 2
BAY
66%
18%
17%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1972 |
BAY
1 - 1
OFC
18%
24%
58%
|
54 | 80 | 26 | +1 |