Union Berlin vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
60.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
FCU
0 - 1
OLP
68%
20%
12%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
FCU
0 - 1
ESP
49%
25%
26%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2025 |
SCH
1 - 0
FCU
16%
21%
63%
|
92 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
SGF
1 - 0
FCU
22%
23%
55%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
FCU
21%
23%
56%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
STU
0 - 1
BOL
48%
24%
28%
|
96 | 97 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
STU
6 - 0
TFC
72%
17%
11%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
STU
2 - 1
CEL
59%
21%
21%
|
96 | 93 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
SVF
1 - 7
STU
2%
9%
89%
|
96 | 37 | 59 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ARB
2 - 4
STU
6%
12%
81%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |