2. Liga Round 3

Union Berlin vs FC St Pauli analysis

Union Berlin FC St Pauli
75 ELO 70
2% Tilt 27.8%
70º General ELO ranking 114º
13º Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
49.4%
Union Berlin
25.2%
Draw
25.4%
FC St Pauli

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
25.4%
Win probability
FC St Pauli
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Berlin
+4%
-1%
FC St Pauli

ELO progression

Union Berlin
FC St Pauli
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2018
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
2 - 4
Union Berlin
FCU
16%
19%
65%
74 60 14 0
13 Aug. 2018
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
49%
25%
26%
74 80 6 0
05 Aug. 2018
FCU
Union Berlin
1 - 0
Erzgebirge Aue
ERZ
57%
24%
19%
74 67 7 0
28 Jul. 2018
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
3 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
21%
20%
59%
75 64 11 -1
17 Jul. 2018
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 1
Norwich City
NOR
48%
23%
29%
75 72 3 0

Matches

FC St Pauli
FC St Pauli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Aug. 2018
WEH
Wehen Wiesbaden
3 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
38%
24%
38%
72 66 6 0
10 Aug. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Darmstadt 98
DAR
33%
27%
40%
71 75 4 +1
05 Aug. 2018
MAG
Magdeburg
1 - 2
FC St Pauli
STP
47%
26%
27%
71 73 2 0
28 Jul. 2018
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 0
Stoke City
STO
28%
27%
46%
71 82 11 0
08 Jul. 2018
BIF
Brøndby IF
3 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
66%
20%
14%
72 83 11 -1