Union Berlin vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 2
FCU
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2011 |
SGF
5 - 0
FCU
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
FCU
4 - 0
FSV
60%
23%
18%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2011 |
FCU
1 - 0
COT
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 5
FCU
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
SGD
3 - 1
SGF
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 2
SGD
41%
27%
32%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SGD
2 - 1
COT
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SGD
2 - 2
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
STP
3 - 1
SGD
70%
19%
12%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |