Union Berlin vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
29.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
DYN
1 - 1
FCU
53%
23%
24%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
FCU
3 - 0
SGD
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
VIK
2 - 5
FCU
7%
15%
78%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
FCU
2 - 1
RBL
15%
20%
65%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCU
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
2 - 1
DYN
22%
23%
55%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
67%
19%
14%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
0 - 3
LAU
48%
24%
27%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 1
ROD
75%
17%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LYO
2 - 3
NIC
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |