Union Berlin vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ING
3 - 3
FCU
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
FCU
0 - 1
MUN
38%
27%
36%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
BOC
4 - 2
FCU
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
FCU
4 - 0
SGD
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
PAD
3 - 2
FCU
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 2
SGF
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
SGD
2 - 0
MSV
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
0 - 1
STP
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ROS
4 - 2
MSV
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
MSV
1 - 2
FSV
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | -1 |