Union Berlin vs Hertha BSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2010 |
PAD
2 - 0
FCU
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
FCU
1 - 2
SGF
35%
27%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
AAA
2 - 2
FCU
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
HAL
1 - 0
FCU
23%
25%
53%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
FCU
1 - 4
MON
31%
24%
45%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
HER
3 - 1
ARB
55%
25%
20%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
F95
1 - 2
HER
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2010 |
HER
3 - 2
ROT
66%
22%
12%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
PFU
0 - 2
HER
10%
19%
72%
|
81 | 45 | 36 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2010 |
RIE
1 - 3
HER
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |