Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
QPR
3 - 0
FCU
21%
20%
59%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 1
NOR
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
UNI
1 - 3
FCU
5%
10%
85%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
FCU
3 - 1
CHE
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
FCU
1 - 1
CZJ
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
ERZ
1 - 0
S04
11%
19%
70%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
1 - 1
ERZ
8%
15%
77%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
BUD
0 - 2
ERZ
6%
14%
80%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
AUE
0 - 2
ERZ
8%
16%
76%
|
66 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2018 |
ERZ
3 - 1
KSC
38%
27%
35%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |