Union Berlin vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
29.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
SGD
4 - 1
FCU
85%
10%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
FCU
1 - 0
CZJ
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1977 |
BFC
1 - 0
FCU
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
FCU
1 - 1
BCB
43%
27%
30%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
MAG
1 - 2
FCU
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
BWA
4 - 2
LOK
33%
27%
40%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1977 |
HAL
6 - 0
BWA
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1977 |
BWA
1 - 1
ZWI
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1977 |
FVF
2 - 1
BWA
55%
24%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 1977 |
SGD
4 - 1
BWA
84%
11%
5%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |