1. FC Merseburg vs Askania Bernburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.32
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.1%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Merseburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
1 - 1
FCM
65%
17%
18%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FCM
4 - 1
VFB
34%
21%
45%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
GER
2 - 1
FCM
71%
16%
13%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2019 |
EIL
2 - 1
FCM
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
EIN
2 - 0
FCM
64%
19%
18%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Askania Bernburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
VFB
8 - 0
ASB
86%
10%
5%
|
12 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
ASB
1 - 2
WEN
11%
15%
74%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
LUC
6 - 0
ASB
92%
6%
2%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
ASB
4 - 5
SVG
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
ASB
0 - 2
VFL
23%
21%
56%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |