Köln vs STV Horst Emscher analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
7.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
PRE
0 - 3
KOL
48%
23%
30%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
ERK
2 - 3
KOL
48%
23%
29%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
KOL
2 - 2
LEV
64%
18%
18%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
BVB
4 - 2
KOL
67%
17%
16%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
KOL
4 - 2
S04
70%
16%
14%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
STV Horst Emscher
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1952 |
SHE
3 - 0
SKF
67%
16%
17%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1952 |
SVS
2 - 3
SHE
71%
16%
13%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 1952 |
SHE
1 - 0
ROT
35%
23%
43%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1952 |
AAA
2 - 1
SHE
83%
10%
7%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1952 |
SHE
4 - 0
MON
40%
22%
38%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |