Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
21%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
F95
2 - 3
KOL
35%
27%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
KOL
3 - 1
SGD
65%
22%
14%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
HSV
2 - 1
KOL
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
STP
0 - 3
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
COT
56%
25%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 1
PAD
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 4
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 1
ERZ
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2013 |
SVS
3 - 2
PAD
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |