Köln vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.3%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2007 |
MON
2 - 2
KOL
49%
26%
26%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2007 |
KOL
4 - 1
OFC
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
WEH
4 - 3
KOL
37%
25%
38%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2007 |
KOL
1 - 3
SCF
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
TUS
1 - 2
KOL
25%
25%
51%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PAD
2 - 2
CZJ
43%
25%
31%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
STP
2 - 1
PAD
52%
26%
23%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2007 |
PAD
1 - 1
AUG
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2007 |
AAA
3 - 1
PAD
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2007 |
PAD
0 - 2
HOF
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | -1 |