Köln vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
47.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
13º
11º
50
6º
18º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
KOL
46%
24%
29%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2022 |
KOL
2 - 2
NIC
45%
25%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
1 - 1
HOF
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
M05
5 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
43%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LEV
5 - 0
FCU
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
LEV
0 - 0
BRU
33%
24%
43%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RBL
2 - 0
LEV
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2022 |
ATM
2 - 2
LEV
56%
23%
22%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
2 - 2
WOL
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |