Köln vs B. Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.8%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.3%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 0
KOL
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
5 - 0
AEK
84%
10%
6%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
KOL
4 - 1
KSC
71%
17%
13%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1982 |
AEK
0 - 1
KOL
35%
24%
41%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
F95
2 - 6
KOL
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 0
KOL
26%
25%
49%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1982 |
HER
3 - 3
LEV
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 3
STU
27%
26%
48%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1982 |
MON
3 - 1
LEV
75%
15%
10%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1982 |
LEV
0 - 1
HSV
20%
23%
58%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | -1 |