When Can the Reds Officially Seal the 2024/25 Premier League Title?
Liverpool is looking unbeatable in its hunt for the Premier League title now. As it stands, the Reds have stretched their lead at the top to 13 points.
No team in English top-flight history, dating back to the 1888-89 season has ever been this far ahead at this point and failed to win it all. Fans and football analysts are saying it’s basically a victory lap for Liverpool now and not much of a race left for the 19-time English champs.
Will they be able to bring that record to 20 this season? The Reds have only lost once in the league all season and recently crushed Newcastle 2-0 in their last fixture.
Meanwhile, second-placed Arsenal have stumbled and dropped points in each of their last two matches, including the draw against Nottingham Forest, another team in “Red” that is on fire this season.
Huge Win Bonus for Liverpool if They Claim the Title
According to reports from The Athletic, Liverpool stands to secure a massive £2 million win bonus from Nike if they claim the Premier League title this season. That’s quite a huge amount that gives them extra incentive to keep pushing.
Bonuses like these aren’t just big in football, they’re a huge motivator across lots of industries, from travel agencies offering loyalty points for trips, to finance firms handing out performance rewards, retail chains with seasonal incentives for staff, tech companies dishing out stock options, and even online casino bonuses that keep players coming back.
Under their five-year deal with Nike which they signed in 2020, the sportswear giant has to shell out a bonus if Liverpool clinches the Premier League title. Nike will also cough up another £2 million if the Reds make it to the Champions League final and a whopping £4 million if they take the European crown in Munich on May 31.
In the Champions League, the six-time champions are set to take on Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg of their round of 16 match in Paris on March 5. We all know the EPL trophy is the sweetest to lift. It’s just a question of when.
When Exactly Could Liverpool Look to Bag the Title
It’s pretty clear now that Liverpool are all but champions of the Premier League and it’s just a question of when, not if. Stat wizards at Opta reckon there’s a 98.7% chance Liverpool will take the title with Arsenal trailing way behind at just 1.3%.
Liverpool is currently sitting on top of the EPL table 13 points ahead of Arsenal with 10 games left to play. A slight hope for Arsenal is that they have got 11 matches still on their slate.
If the Reds hold onto that 13-point lead, they could clinch the title with four games to spare on April 26 when they face Tottenham. However, if Arsenal wins their game in hand and keeps pace with their other results, Liverpool will lock it up the next weekend against Chelsea.
If that plays out, their first match as champions of England would be a home clash with Arsenal, who might even give them a guard of honor as they walk onto the pitch.
Thanks to their deep run in the Champions League, their spot in the Carabao Cup final against Newcastle, and an international break, Liverpool have only got one league game in March.
The earliest they could mathematically seal the deal is sometime in early April. If they win their next three matches and Arsenal loses their next four games, it will all be wrapped up for Arne Slot’s side by April 5.
What Does Liverpool Need to Mathematically Guarantee the EPL Trophy?
Right now, Liverpool has got 10 games left to play. Their biggest threat for the title is Arsenal who have 11 matches on their schedule. If Mikel Arteta’s side manages to win all 11 of those games, they’d end up with 87 points.
That means Liverpool needs to hit at least 88 points to lock down the title. With 67 points already in the bag, the Reds need to grab another 21 points from their last 10 games to mathematically clinch it.
That means winning 7 games or winning 6 and drawing 3 of their last 10 in the campaign. The hypothetical case of winning only five of those games and drawing the remaining 5 would still see them clinch it, but just barely.
Is it Too Early to Count Arsenal Out?
The answer is yes, it’s a safe bet to make. It’s becoming increasingly difficult for the Gunners who have been branded the “biggest disappointment this season” to even dream of overtaking Liverpool.
Arsenal needs to win all of its remaining 11 fixtures if it’s to have any chances of lifting the EPL trophy at the end of the campaign.
Under Mikel Arteta, Arsenal has never managed more than eight straight wins across all competitions, and that streak actually stretched over two different seasons. Arteta’s best-ever winning run in a single league campaign was eight games back in the 2023/24 season.
This year, the Gunners are averaging two points per game. Liverpool will face them at home in their third-to-last Premier League match that’s set for the weekend of May 10/11. You do the math. It’s not looking good for the Gooners, is it?