Zwaluwen vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
1.8%
Win probability
0.17
Expected goals
2-0
0.1%
3-1
<0%
+2
0.1%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
0.3%
3-2
<0%
+1
1.7%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
0.3%
3-3
<0%
0
11.8%
86.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
19.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.2%
-1
23.2%
0-2
22.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
25.4%
0-3
17.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
10.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0%
-4
10.9%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
0.3%
-5
5%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ZWA
2 - 3
KOZ
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
ZWA
2 - 0
NIE
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 3
ZWA
50%
22%
28%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
GOE
1 - 5
ZWA
28%
23%
49%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ZWA
7 - 5
RIJ
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
TWE
5 - 2
ADO
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2011 |
FUL
1 - 1
TWE
44%
26%
30%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
RJC
2 - 1
TWE
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
TWE
4 - 1
VVV
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2011 |
SLB
3 - 1
TWE
55%
23%
22%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |