Zwaluwen .30 vs Alexandria .66 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
15.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
HAA
0 - 1
ZWA
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ZWA
3 - 2
RCL
72%
17%
12%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
GHC
2 - 0
ZWA
21%
21%
58%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | -2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ZWA
1 - 0
AAL
83%
12%
6%
|
35 | 16 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ZUI
1 - 3
ZWA
41%
24%
34%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Alexandria .66
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
4 - 2
VOO
27%
23%
51%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FSP
2 - 2
ALE
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
SWI
2 - 0
ALE
66%
19%
15%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
ALE
2 - 2
HAA
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
ALE
1 - 1
SMI
19%
21%
61%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |