Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
22.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
STG
0 - 2
ZUR
38%
25%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
ZUR
1 - 0
SIO
55%
24%
21%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
ZUR
4 - 0
LAU
72%
19%
10%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
STG
0 - 1
ZUR
41%
24%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
THU
2 - 1
FCL
36%
26%
38%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
YOB
2 - 1
THU
59%
23%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
FCA
2 - 1
THU
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
THU
0 - 1
GNK
24%
22%
53%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
THU
1 - 0
YOB
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |