Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
WIL
0 - 1
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2002 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2002 |
ASV
3 - 0
ZUR
54%
26%
21%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
2 - 0
ASV
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2002 |
ZUR
3 - 1
SER
35%
26%
39%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2002 |
THU
3 - 1
FCL
59%
21%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2002 |
THU
0 - 1
STG
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2002 |
DEL
0 - 1
THU
47%
24%
28%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2002 |
THU
3 - 4
YOB
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2002 |
NEX
2 - 1
THU
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |