Zurich vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
11.1%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2000 |
DEL
0 - 2
ZUR
22%
26%
52%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 2
SIO
54%
24%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2000 |
BAD
0 - 1
ZUR
22%
26%
53%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2000 |
ZUR
7 - 2
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2000 |
ZUR
2 - 1
LUG
54%
25%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2000 |
THU
0 - 0
SIO
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2000 |
DEL
2 - 3
THU
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2000 |
THU
1 - 0
FCA
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2000 |
BEL
0 - 2
THU
63%
20%
17%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2000 |
THU
1 - 1
BEL
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |