UCL Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Zurich vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
30.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
PSV
1 - 0
ZUR
71%
16%
13%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1963 |
ZUR
2 - 2
GAL
49%
23%
29%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1963 |
GAL
2 - 0
ZUR
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1963 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GAL
48%
23%
30%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
ZUR
1 - 2
DUN
67%
16%
17%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1964 |
PSV
1 - 0
ZUR
71%
16%
13%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1964 |
GRO
3 - 1
PSV
34%
25%
42%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1964 |
PSV
0 - 2
DWS
75%
14%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
FOR
3 - 1
PSV
27%
23%
50%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
PSV
2 - 1
ADO
77%
14%
9%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |