Swiss Super League Round 15

Zurich vs Luzern analysis

Zurich Luzern
76 ELO 74
4.3% Tilt 6.1%
284º General ELO ranking 288º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
47.4%
Zurich
24.5%
Draw
28.1%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.3%
Win probability
Zurich
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
28.1%
Win probability
Luzern
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-5%
-6%
Luzern

ELO progression

Zurich
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Nov. 2019
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 3
FC Vaduz
FCV
64%
20%
16%
75 63 12 0
10 Nov. 2019
ZUR
Zurich
4 - 2
Sion
SIO
45%
26%
30%
74 74 0 +1
02 Nov. 2019
THU
Thun
0 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
75 70 5 -1
30 Oct. 2019
YOB
Young Boys
4 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
76%
15%
9%
75 87 12 0
27 Oct. 2019
ZUR
Zurich
3 - 2
Basel
BAS
18%
21%
60%
75 86 11 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2019
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
Servette
SER
42%
26%
32%
74 74 0 0
03 Nov. 2019
FCL
Luzern
1 - 2
FC Lugano
LUG
48%
25%
27%
75 72 3 -1
30 Oct. 2019
GCZ
Grasshopper
0 - 1
Luzern
FCL
30%
24%
46%
74 68 6 +1
26 Oct. 2019
NEX
Neuchâtel Xamax
2 - 0
Luzern
FCL
36%
25%
39%
75 70 5 -1
20 Oct. 2019
FCL
Luzern
3 - 1
Sion
SIO
38%
26%
36%
74 76 2 +1