Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
GCZ
0 - 1
ZUR
34%
26%
40%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
ZUR
3 - 1
BAS
29%
25%
46%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
LAU
1 - 1
ZUR
18%
23%
58%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
STG
1 - 2
ZUR
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ZUR
4 - 0
SER
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCL
3 - 1
YOB
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2013 |
FCL
2 - 0
STG
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 3
FCL
66%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
FCL
1 - 1
GCZ
38%
27%
36%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |