Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.5%
12.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 3
ZUR
37%
24%
38%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SIO
3 - 3
ZUR
28%
25%
47%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
ZUR
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2009 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZUR
35%
24%
40%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2009 |
ZUR
2 - 3
MAR
62%
22%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
YOB
23%
24%
53%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
NEX
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
FCL
71%
18%
11%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
FCL
2 - 1
GCZ
33%
26%
42%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2009 |
SIO
3 - 1
FCL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |