Zurich vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.9%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
WAN
1 - 4
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
85 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
SIO
2 - 2
ZUR
26%
25%
49%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ZUR
5 - 0
THU
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
50%
23%
27%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
ZUR
2 - 1
GCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
KRI
0 - 4
FCL
23%
22%
56%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
THU
1 - 1
FCL
62%
21%
17%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2006 |
FCL
2 - 0
BAS
15%
20%
65%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2006 |
STG
1 - 0
FCL
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2006 |
FCL
1 - 1
SCH
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |