Swiss Super League Normal Season Round 15

Zurich vs Luzern analysis

Zurich Luzern
80 ELO 68
-9.8% Tilt -13.2%
283º General ELO ranking 287º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
61%
Zurich
21.6%
Draw
17.4%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61%
Win probability
Zurich
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
17.4%
Win probability
Luzern
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-3%
-7%
Luzern

ELO progression

Zurich
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Sep. 2002
SER
Servette
2 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
57%
23%
20%
80 82 2 0
22 Sep. 2002
GCZ
Grasshopper
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
71%
17%
12%
80 85 5 0
11 Sep. 2002
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
43%
26%
31%
80 80 0 0
11 Sep. 2002
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Delemont
DEL
61%
22%
17%
80 71 9 0
31 Aug. 2002
YOB
Young Boys
2 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
46%
26%
29%
80 75 5 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Sep. 2002
FCL
Luzern
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
29%
25%
46%
67 80 13 0
22 Sep. 2002
DEL
Delemont
2 - 2
Luzern
FCL
52%
23%
25%
67 70 3 0
11 Sep. 2002
FCL
Luzern
0 - 0
Young Boys
YOB
38%
26%
37%
67 76 9 0
11 Sep. 2002
FCL
Luzern
0 - 1
Neuchâtel Xamax
NEX
38%
25%
37%
67 76 9 0
31 Aug. 2002
FCA
Aarau
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
56%
23%
21%
67 74 7 0