Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
YOB
2 - 1
ZUR
79%
14%
7%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
CHI
3 - 2
ZUR
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ZUR
3 - 0
WIN
60%
20%
20%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2020 |
ZUR
1 - 0
WIL
71%
17%
12%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2020 |
FCL
2 - 0
ZUR
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
LUG
2 - 1
FCL
40%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
INT
5 - 0
LUG
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 90 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
LUG
9%
16%
75%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
LUG
5 - 1
CHI
73%
18%
9%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
BEL
1 - 1
LUG
13%
20%
67%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |