Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2018 |
LUD
1 - 1
ZUR
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
BAS
2 - 0
ZUR
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ZUR
2 - 0
GCZ
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2018 |
ZUR
1 - 2
AEK
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NEX
3 - 3
ZUR
30%
24%
46%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
SIO
36%
25%
39%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
LUG
2 - 2
NEX
47%
24%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
YOB
1 - 0
LUG
77%
15%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
LUG
1 - 4
FCL
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
BAS
3 - 2
LUG
67%
19%
14%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |