Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
ZUR
2 - 3
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
THU
4 - 0
ZUR
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
YOB
3 - 0
ZUR
59%
20%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
1 - 1
GCZ
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ZUR
0 - 1
FCL
41%
25%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
LUG
0 - 1
GCZ
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
FCL
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SIO
3 - 1
LUG
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
BAS
3 - 0
LUG
71%
18%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUG
2 - 1
THU
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |