Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
15.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 2
LAU
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1999 |
NEW
3 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
0 - 1
ZUR
31%
27%
43%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
ZUR
2 - 0
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1999 |
ZUR
1 - 2
NEW
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 5
GCZ
25%
26%
50%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
LAU
2 - 0
LUG
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 2
YVE
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
FCL
3 - 0
LUG
48%
27%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1999 |
LUG
2 - 1
NEX
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |