Zurich vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
25.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
LAU
0 - 0
ZUR
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
ZUR
2 - 2
NEX
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
FCA
1 - 0
ZUR
53%
25%
23%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1993 |
SER
4 - 2
ZUR
61%
22%
18%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1993 |
SIO
3 - 1
ZUR
60%
24%
17%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 0
KRI
73%
18%
9%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1993 |
YVE
1 - 2
LUG
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 1993 |
LUG
0 - 2
YOB
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1993 |
SIO
2 - 0
LUG
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |