Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 5-0
Zurich vs Linfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 3
SIO
63%
20%
17%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
STG
2 - 0
ZUR
39%
24%
37%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
ZUR
2 - 2
QAR
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ZUR
0 - 0
FCL
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Linfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
CRU
42%
24%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
LIN
0 - 2
ZUR
28%
23%
48%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
BOG
8 - 0
LIN
73%
16%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
LOU
0 - 2
LIN
21%
22%
58%
|
74 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
LIN
1 - 0
BOG
17%
22%
61%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |