Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.4%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
14.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
LUG
1 - 1
ZUR
32%
27%
41%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 1999 |
SLI
0 - 3
ZUR
35%
25%
40%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
LAU
2 - 0
ZUR
56%
23%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
ZUR
1 - 1
FCL
64%
21%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
SER
3 - 0
ZUR
49%
25%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 3
LAU
24%
25%
51%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1999 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
FCA
3 - 2
SER
25%
26%
50%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
DEL
4 - 2
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 1999 |
FCA
1 - 0
STG
40%
26%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |