Swiss Super League Round 22

Zurich vs Aarau analysis

Zurich Aarau
81 ELO 71
-3.6% Tilt -8.7%
281º General ELO ranking 738º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
66.1%
Zurich
20%
Draw
13.9%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.1%
Win probability
Zurich
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
13.9%
Win probability
Aarau
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-1%
-4%
Aarau

ELO progression

Zurich
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Dec. 1998
ZUR
Zurich
2 - 2
Roma
ROM
27%
28%
46%
81 89 8 0
04 Dec. 1998
SIO
Sion
0 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
44%
26%
30%
81 77 4 0
29 Nov. 1998
ZUR
Zurich
4 - 1
FC Lugano
LUG
69%
20%
12%
81 69 12 0
24 Nov. 1998
ROM
Roma
1 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
77%
15%
8%
81 89 8 0
20 Nov. 1998
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
37%
26%
37%
81 70 11 0

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Dec. 1998
FCA
Aarau
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
51%
25%
25%
71 72 1 0
29 Nov. 1998
FCA
Aarau
2 - 2
Sion
SIO
37%
26%
37%
71 77 6 0
22 Nov. 1998
LUG
FC Lugano
0 - 2
Aarau
FCA
49%
25%
26%
70 70 0 +1
15 Nov. 1998
FCA
Aarau
1 - 1
Young Boys
YOB
54%
24%
22%
70 70 0 0
08 Nov. 1998
LAU
Lausanne Sports
2 - 1
Aarau
FCA
67%
19%
14%
70 81 11 0