Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.2%
8.1%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1983 |
STG
1 - 0
ZUR
37%
27%
37%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
ZUR
2 - 3
GCZ
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
VEV
0 - 1
ZUR
20%
23%
58%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
ZUR
4 - 1
WIN
89%
8%
4%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1982 |
SLB
4 - 0
ZUR
69%
19%
12%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 1983 |
FCA
2 - 0
LAU
57%
23%
20%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1983 |
FCL
2 - 1
FCA
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1983 |
FCA
2 - 0
YOB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1983 |
SER
1 - 0
FCA
78%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1982 |
STG
2 - 2
FCA
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |