Zurich vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1981 |
BFC
2 - 0
ZUR
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
GCZ
2 - 2
ZUR
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
ZUR
0 - 0
STG
80%
13%
7%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
BEL
1 - 1
ZUR
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YOB
76%
15%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
FCA
1 - 0
CHI
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1981 |
VEV
1 - 1
FCA
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1981 |
FCA
5 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 1981 |
BUL
2 - 1
FCA
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 53 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 1981 |
BAS
2 - 0
FCA
82%
11%
7%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |