Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
37.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
1º
8º
8º
61
1º
10º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 1
ZUR
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ZUR
1 - 0
YVE
60%
22%
19%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZUR
2 - 0
UCL
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZUR
0 - 2
FET
79%
15%
7%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2025 |
ZUR
0 - 3
S04
51%
23%
26%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
4 - 1
SIO
45%
25%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 2
BAS
40%
24%
36%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
3 - 0
SCH
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BAS
2 - 0
THU
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
BAS
0 - 1
GCZ
55%
24%
22%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |