Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
3 - 0
NEX
66%
21%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 3
ZUR
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ZUR
5 - 0
FCV
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ZUR
0 - 0
BEL
68%
21%
12%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
SIO
0 - 4
BAS
26%
24%
50%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
FCL
1 - 2
BAS
22%
23%
54%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
2 - 1
ZUR
45%
24%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
GCZ
51%
24%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |