Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ZUR
3 - 0
STG
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
ZUR
28%
25%
48%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
ZUR
1 - 0
STG
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
ZUR
2 - 2
FCA
78%
15%
7%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SCH
0 - 4
ZUR
16%
22%
62%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
BAS
4 - 1
THU
72%
17%
11%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
FCA
0 - 1
BAS
14%
20%
67%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
1 - 0
FCA
82%
12%
6%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BAS
0 - 0
SCH
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
GCZ
1 - 5
BAS
39%
25%
37%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |