Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2006 |
FCA
1 - 1
ZUR
23%
23%
54%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
3 - 0
FCA
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
ZUR
1 - 1
YVE
75%
16%
8%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2005 |
SCH
0 - 2
ZUR
22%
24%
54%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
3 - 4
ZUR
59%
21%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
ROM
3 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
YOB
1 - 6
BAS
41%
24%
35%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2005 |
NEX
3 - 2
BAS
24%
23%
53%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
BAS
1 - 0
GCZ
58%
21%
22%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |