Zurich vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
ZUR
4 - 0
THU
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
FCA
3 - 3
ZUR
49%
25%
25%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
ZUR
3 - 1
WIL
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
1 - 0
ZUR
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2003 |
NEX
2 - 1
ZUR
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2003 |
BAS
4 - 1
STG
69%
17%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
GCZ
0 - 4
BAS
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
6 - 0
SER
63%
19%
17%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
THU
0 - 4
BAS
24%
22%
54%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
BAS
3 - 1
FCA
75%
16%
10%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |