Swiss Super League Round 23

Zurich vs Basel analysis

Zurich Basel
77 ELO 74
5.9% Tilt 14.2%
272º General ELO ranking 235º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
57.3%
Zurich
22.3%
Draw
20.4%
Basel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
Zurich
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
20.4%
Win probability
Basel
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Zurich
-3%
+22%
Basel

ELO progression

Zurich
Basel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Zurich
Zurich
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 1985
LAU
Lausanne Sports
3 - 0
Zurich
ZUR
47%
25%
28%
77 74 3 0
21 Apr. 1985
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 1
La Chaux-de-Fonds
LAC
67%
19%
14%
77 69 8 0
11 Apr. 1985
YOB
Young Boys
1 - 1
Zurich
ZUR
45%
25%
29%
77 74 3 0
31 Mar. 1985
ZUR
Zurich
1 - 0
Aarau
FCA
58%
22%
20%
77 76 1 0
23 Mar. 1985
WIN
Winterthur
4 - 2
Zurich
ZUR
29%
26%
45%
78 58 20 -1

Matches

Basel
Basel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Apr. 1985
BAS
Basel
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
48%
24%
28%
74 79 5 0
20 Apr. 1985
SER
Servette
4 - 0
Basel
BAS
70%
18%
12%
75 85 10 -1
11 Apr. 1985
BAS
Basel
6 - 2
Lausanne Sports
LAU
62%
21%
17%
74 74 0 +1
31 Mar. 1985
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
39%
26%
35%
74 64 10 0
23 Mar. 1985
LAC
La Chaux-de-Fonds
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
45%
24%
31%
74 68 6 0