Zuidvogels vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
49.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zuidvogels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 1
ZUI
38%
21%
41%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ZUI
1 - 4
ROD
53%
21%
26%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
ZUI
2 - 0
HCF
86%
9%
5%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CSW
1 - 1
ZUI
30%
22%
48%
|
27 | 21 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ZUI
0 - 2
BRE
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
ARC
3 - 2
HED
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
ARC
2 - 1
HUI
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARC
22%
19%
59%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ARC
1 - 0
ZWA
72%
17%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
CSW
1 - 1
ARC
23%
21%
56%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |